Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.1K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 27, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 11% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 18.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $7.08K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 12:37 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 27 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Feb 2026	26.5%
27 Mar 2026	24.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.41K
cyniclee	Yes	1K
TENETENET	Yes	500

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the National Survey of Occupation and Employment, published by INEGI every month at https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/ The next data release is scheduled for March 27, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.