Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? | No | 1.15 | $0.469 | $1.06 | +$0.52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.122 | $1.46 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 26.83 |
| $0.036 |
| $0.97 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 9 | $0.080 | $0.72 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.060 | $1.02 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by April 3?No | sell | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 9 | $0.130 | $1.17 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.095 | $1.14 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 12 | $0.340 | $4.08 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.070 | $1.19 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 63 | $0.059 | $3.75 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.110 | $1.87 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.100 | $2.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.469 | $0.54 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.177 | $2.83 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.610 | $9.55 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 4 | $0.830 | $3.32 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.150 | $7.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?Yes | buy | 364 | $0.069 | $25.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.070 | $0.56 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 6,500 and 7,000?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.530 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.120 | $1.44 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Borova by April 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.138 | $3.87 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.070 | $3.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.83 | $0.091 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.694 | $4.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 255.31 | $0.100 | $25.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.067 | $3.83 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.060 | $0.48 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.650 | $3.9 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?No | buy | 6 | $0.640 | $3.84 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.686 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?Yes | buy | 26.22 | $0.153 | $4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$146 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 9 | $0.440 | $3.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | buy | 6 | $0.660 | $3.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?Yes | buy | 57.97 | $0.069 | $4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?Yes | buy | 150.55 | $0.169 | $25.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Meta (META) close at <$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 6 | $0.580 | $3.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 3?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.740 | $3.91 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.748 | $3.91 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.600 | $3.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |