Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, down 14 points from 32.5% when the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.5% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 9% on 18 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22.5%; a month before, 21%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 17.5% on 3 Sep 2026.
by March 31, 2027 ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “When will MegaETH hit $0.10?”. by December 31, 2027 leads at 28%; by June 30, 2027 is at 26%.
$76.76 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.53K since listing. The order book holds $412.52, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $127.83 bought Yes and $844.91 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 339 shares; the largest No position is Liquidifier with 523.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 32.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidifier | No | 522.64 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 338.66 |
| eatpastarunfasta | Yes | 219.09 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for MegaETH (MEGA/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $0.10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the MEGA/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/MEGA_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance MEGA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-megaeth-hit-0pt10
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 60 |
| cigarettes | No | 39.87 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| fcancellara | No | 20 |
| chessplayer | No | 20 |
| pppnn | No | 17.94 |
| ddadsf | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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