Analytics
Yes is at 8.8%, down 38 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 123 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 17 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.6%; a month before, 6.8%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 42.5% on 2 Aug 2026.
Mauro Garza ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner”. Esteban "Steve" Guerra leads at 90.5%.
$25 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $527.73 since listing. The order book holds $24K, with a 4.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 38 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 62.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 62 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 38.24 |
| cigarettes | No | 38.24 |
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cameron-county-judge-election-winner-20260626005213910
| Thesickest |
| Yes |
| 35 |
| Lunar Falcon C90E | Yes | 25 |
| PPMT | No | 25 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | Yes | 2.25 |
| Mojito9 | No | 2.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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