Analytics
Yes is at 90.5%, up 38 points from 53% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 124 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.5% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 53% on 27 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 89.5%; a month before, 89.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 78.5% on 28 Jun 2026.
Esteban "Steve" Guerra is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner”, ahead of Mauro Garza at 8.8%.
$69 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.51K since listing. The order book holds $16.98K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $2.48K bought Yes and $41.1 bought No; the largest was a $2.13K buy of Yes at 81.9¢.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 580 shares; the largest No position is Dr.PNL with 299.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 124 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 53.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 90.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 579.65 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 299.28 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 62 |
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cameron-county-judge-election-winner-20260626005213910
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 60.97 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | No | 50 |
| dropmeplease | No | 41.22 |
| procrypter | No | 40 |
| cigarettes | No | 38.23 |
| Thesickest | Yes | 35.54 |
| Lunar Falcon C90E | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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