Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 37 points from 40.5% when the market opened on 5 Jan 2026.
Across the 271 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.8% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 27 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.2%; a month before, 4.6%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 44.8% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?”.
$306.17 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $37.25K since listing. The order book holds $3.1K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 240 trades, $517.13 bought Yes and $15.73K bought No; the largest was a $7.05K buy of No at 94.7¢.
The largest Yes position is resfeber with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2K. Ten wallets hold 76.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 271 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 40.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.02K |
| resfeber | Yes | 1.5K |
| majstor | No | 859.99 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-light-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
1 more market.
| PhilHawesLover |
| No |
| 430.35 |
| JoGold | Yes | 289 |
| Barren-Underpants | Yes | 270.32 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 250 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | Yes | 203.4 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 173.01 |
| cowcat | Yes | 154 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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