Analytics
Yes is at 1%, down 47 points from 48% when the market opened on 5 Jan 2026.
Across the 286 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 13 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.3%; a month before, 1.8%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 8.5% on 1 Mar 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?”.
$18.17K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.17K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 248 trades, $390.74 bought Yes and $7.11K bought No; the largest was a $1.83K sell of No at 91.6¢.
The largest Yes position is b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. with 416 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 79.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 286 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.88K |
| Hyperlong | No | 478.55 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 416.33 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-light-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
1 more market.
| Robbb | Yes | 412.95 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 402 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank | Yes | 253.7 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 188.45 |
| mwenya | No | 188.2 |
| Coral Vector 08BD | No | 150 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 123.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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