Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 7.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the low 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points up, to 7.5% on 15 Jul 2026. $28.26K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 14 Jul 2026 – 14 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.57K |
| ooops | Yes | 1.1K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 526.65 |
| TheOne777 | Yes | 505.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733
| Bruised-Observatory | Yes | 400.1 |
| FEAROFWHAT | Yes | 254.16 |
| IntoDarkness779 | Yes | 200 |
| malluc | Yes | 200 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 135.08 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 102.23 |
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