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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | Yes | 26.74 | $0.512 | $19.65 | +$5.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 5d ago |
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| Yes |
| 46.31 |
| $0.108 |
| $9.96 |
| +$4.96 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 38.33 | $0.183 | $7.09 | +$0.09 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.050 | $2.4 | +$1.4 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $2.33 | +$1.33 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 58.14 | $0.017 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 70.03 | $0.014 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 239 | $0.004 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 223 | $0.004 | $1 | +$0 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 26.17 | $0.038 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
Will Trump resign before 2027? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 212.43 | $0.005 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.054 | $0.71 | -$0.64 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.280 | $0.65 | -$2.15 |
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.039 | $0.55 | -$0.61 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $0.55 | -$0.55 |
100kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.109 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.015 | $0.26 | -$0.86 |
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 19.23 |
| $0.260 |
| $5 |
| 5d ago |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 5d ago |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | 5d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.17 | $0.038 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 223 | $0.004 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 212.43 | $0.005 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 239 | $0.004 | $1 | 7d ago |
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.26 | $0.103 | $3 | 9d ago |
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 9d ago |
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 9d ago |
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 9d ago |
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.070 | $0.41 | 9d ago |
Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.589 | $5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 75.47 | $0.027 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.05 | $0.768 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
BNB Up or Down - July 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.9 | $0.505 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
BNB Up or Down - July 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | buy | 9.9 | $0.505 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
BNB Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
BNB Up or Down - July 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
BNB Up or Down - July 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 10.92 | $0.458 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething | sell | 18.92 | $0.250 | $4.73 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals | sell | 5.66 | $0.770 | $4.36 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?No | buy | 8.55 | $0.117 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.109 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 70.03 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |