Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 34% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 49.5% on 7 Aug 2026. $3.29K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 34.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 299.99 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 162.5 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 46.02 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lana-del-rey-release-a-new-album-byptptpt-20260717173624432
| AMAM13 | Yes | 41 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| Bodytobody | Yes | 33 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 30 |
| monoclith | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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