Analytics
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
sportsActive
Closes Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Yes
20.5%
No
79.5%
Yes costs 20.5¢No costs 79.5¢
24h Volume
$40
Total volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$27.3K
Closes
Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Topic roomBallon d'OrSoccer
Where it stands
Yes is at 20.5%, up 3 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 17 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 2 Nov 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.5%.
It is one of 29 markets under “Ballon d'Or Winner 2027”.
Across the latest 79 trades, $265.92 bought Yes and $502.58 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 91.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 9:55 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 20.5% |
Same event
Ballon d'Or Winner 2027
- 1Lamine Yamal$3.79K traded24.5%
- 2Kylian MbappéThis market$3.39K traded20.5%
- 3Raphinha
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.76K |
| P1kaso | Yes | 658.99 |
| thefakenick | No | 478.62 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2027
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
- Ballon d'Or oddsWho will win the Ballon d'Or?
- Soccer oddsWhat are the odds in Polymarket's soccer markets?
What to watch in Ballon d'Or
- Trophies in the season the award covers: the Champions League, the league titles and, in a tournament summer, the World Cup or the Euros
- Goals, assists and the big-match performances jurors remember
- The shortlist of 30, which settles who can win at all