Analytics
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
sportsActive
Closes Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Yes
2.4%
No
97.7%
Yes costs 2.35¢No costs 97.65¢
24h Volume
$167
Total volume
$167
Liquidity
$2.9K
Closes
Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Topic roomBallon d'OrSoccer
Where it stands
Yes is at 2.4%, up 1.3 points from 1.1% when the market opened on 10 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 4.2% on 11 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 10 Nov 2026.
It is one of 29 markets under “Ballon d'Or Winner 2027”.
The best bid and the best ask are 4.1% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 9:53 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2026 | 1.1% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 2.4% |
Same event
Ballon d'Or Winner 2027
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 1.76K |
| gdime27 | Yes | 816.58 |
| milkthedip | Yes | 352.06 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2027
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
- Ballon d'Or oddsWho will win the Ballon d'Or?
- Soccer oddsWhat are the odds in Polymarket's soccer markets?
What to watch in Ballon d'Or
- Trophies in the season the award covers: the Champions League, the league titles and, in a tournament summer, the World Cup or the Euros
- Goals, assists and the big-match performances jurors remember
- The shortlist of 30, which settles who can win at all