Analytics
Yes is at 27%, up 14 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 54 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 11% on 10 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26%; a month before, 20%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 60% on 17 Sep 2026.
Kathy Hochul (D) ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner”. Bruce Blakeman (R) leads at 72%.
$609.33 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.36K since listing. The order book holds $12.84K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 437 trades, $1.64K bought Yes and $2.25K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Odd-Relish with 567 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 85% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 13.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.09K |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 567 |
| Silver Comet 7A69 | Yes | 560.64 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-election-nassau-county-winner
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 277.33 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 267.58 |
| GirlOnFire | Yes | 210 |
| sweetj | Yes | 205 |
| PolyArbi | Yes | 196.78 |
| whispercatalyst | No | 166.19 |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 163.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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