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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 230 | $0.721 | $182.85 | +$16.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.420 | $6.3 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 348.29 |
| $0.310 |
| $78.36 |
| -$29.64 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | Yes | 200 | $0.290 | $75 | +$17 |
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | No | 100 | $0.670 | $68 | +$1 |
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | No | 100 | $0.490 | $58.5 | +$9.5 |
Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | Yes | 100 | $0.520 | $57.5 | +$5.5 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.450 | $57.5 | +$12.5 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | $0.290 | $55 | -$3 |
Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | No | 60 | $0.828 | $50.01 | +$0.33 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.880 | $49.83 | +$5.83 |
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $49.5 | -$0.5 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.910 | $48.25 | +$2.75 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 230 | $0.200 | $47.15 | +$1.15 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.177 | $43.5 | -$9.5 |
Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 100 | $0.420 | $40.5 | -$1.5 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 50 | $0.850 | $40.25 | -$2.25 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | $0.810 | $38.94 | +$6.54 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 100 | $0.379 | $37.25 | -$0.65 |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | Yes | 100 | $0.408 | $37 | -$3.8 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 2.56K | $0.021 | $33.29 | -$20.49 |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.550 | $32.25 | +$4.75 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 200 | $0.183 | $31.9 | -$4.7 |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 100 | $0.387 | $31.5 | -$7.2 |
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes? | Yes | 310 | $0.096 | $27.9 | -$2 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 100 | $0.275 | $26.5 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.410 |
| $20.5 |
| 1d ago |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.400 | $14 | 1d ago |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | 1d ago |
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | 1d ago |
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.090 | $9.9 | 1d ago |
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | 1d ago |
Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 1d ago |
Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes?No | buy | 60 | $0.828 | $49.68 | 1d ago |
Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | 1d ago |
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 1d ago |
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 1d ago |
Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 87°F or 88°F?Yes | buy | 32.72 | $0.950 | $31.08 | 2d ago |
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 50.78 | $0.420 | $21.33 | 2d ago |
| sell | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 2d ago |
| buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | 2d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | 3d ago |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 113.37 | $0.700 | $79.36 | 3d ago |
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | 3d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | 3d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 3d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | buy | 81 | $0.110 | $8.91 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 308.29 | $0.324 | $100 | 3d ago |
Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 87°F or 88°F?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 3d ago |
UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)Daniil Donchenko | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | 3d ago |
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)Felipe Lima | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | 3d ago |
UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)Kurtis Campbell | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | 3d ago |
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)Farés Ziam | buy | 30 | $0.590 | $17.7 | 3d ago |
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Salahdine Parnasse | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | 3d ago |
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Yes | sell | 10.92 | $0.530 | $5.79 | 3d ago |
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | 3d ago |
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.925 | $46.24 | 3d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 3d ago |
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | 3d ago |
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.790 | $197.5 | 4d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 60 | $0.140 | $8.4 | 4d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | 4d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 108 | $0.200 | $21.6 | 4d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 192 | $0.206 | $39.51 | 4d ago |
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.780 | $140.4 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 33 | $0.150 | $4.95 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 31 | $0.200 | $6.2 | 5d ago |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.120 | $2.33 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 34.72 | $0.180 | $6.25 | 5d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 5d ago |
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | 5d ago |