Question 1

What is the “Will Kast win by less than 5%?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kast win by less than 5%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on December 14, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($111.18K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 70 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 87.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 16, 8:33 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-kast-win-by-less-than-5) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
pudpuaspo	buy	Yes	0.1%	4K	Dec 15, 7:14 AM
oVyg7f	sell	Yes

Will Kast win by less than 5%?

Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Questions about this market