Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 22.5% on 20 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 99.9% on 15 Dec 2025. $220.74K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 17, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 15 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 43.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 74.12K |
| lineth | No | 3.23K |
| marSong | No | 2.71K |
| dartgh | No | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on December 14, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in this round of the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chile-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-second-round
| cowcat | No | 1.83K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 917 |
| oak | No | 667.98 |
| ZaiZoiBele | No | 506.49 |
| kamarat | No | 300 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 291 |
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