Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.27 | $0.655 | $14.12 | +$4.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 16.81 | $0.919 | $15.45 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 13.89 |
| $0.946 |
| $13.88 |
| +$0.74 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 15.94 | $0.940 | $13.83 | -$1.16 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 25.42 | $0.590 | $13.6 | -$1.4 |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 10.73 | $0.931 | $10.66 | +$0.67 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 11 | $0.316 | $9.38 | +$5.9 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 10.22 | $0.660 | $9.35 | +$2.61 |
 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 8.74 | $0.989 | $8.74 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 13.57 | $0.440 | $6.85 | +$0.88 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 77.02 | $0.250 | $6.55 | -$12.71 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 9.61 | $0.520 | $4.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 279.96 | $0.172 | $4.62 | -$43.46 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 46.12 | $0.310 | $4.08 | -$10.22 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.26 | $0.605 | $3.94 | -$1.05 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 121.65 | $0.100 | $3.83 | -$8.33 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 13.47 | $0.854 | $2.2 | -$9.3 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 36.74 | $0.270 | $2.11 | -$7.81 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.07 | $0.161 | $1.33 | -$1.57 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 139.97 | $0.032 | $1.05 | -$3.43 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.670 | $0.75 | -$4.03 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 8.49 | $0.640 | $0.62 | -$4.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.36 | $0.230 | $0.54 | -$4.37 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 25 | $0.210 | $0.51 | -$4.74 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 31.01 | $0.058 | $0.5 | -$1.31 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 23 | $0.052 | $0.13 | -$1.07 |
| sell |
| 90.37 |
| $0.179 |
| $16.18 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 24.21 | $0.946 | $22.9 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 41.34 | $0.405 | $16.74 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 27.16 | $0.999 | $27.13 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 27.78 | $0.991 | $27.53 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 25.04 | $0.999 | $25.01 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 40.7 | $0.830 | $33.78 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 65.65 | $0.980 | $64.34 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 75.01 | $0.978 | $73.36 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 105.79 | $0.750 | $79.34 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 88.99 | $0.969 | $86.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 387.58 | $0.990 | $383.7 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.61 | $0.989 | $111.37 | May 31, 2026 |
 LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | May 18, 2026 |
 Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 29.52 | $0.630 | $18.6 | May 17, 2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | May 17, 2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | May 17, 2026 |
 San Diego Padres vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners | buy | 8.05 | $0.590 | $4.75 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.940 | $9.99 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.940 | $9.99 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp | buy | 28.16 | $0.700 | $19.71 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp | buy | 28.16 | $0.700 | $19.71 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGAM Esports | buy | 21.05 | $0.920 | $19.38 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGAM Esports | buy | 21.17 | $0.921 | $19.49 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGAM Esports | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.480 | $4.69 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales | buy | 22.22 | $0.750 | $16.67 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales | buy | 22.22 | $0.582 | $12.92 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales | buy | 22.22 | $0.586 | $13.03 | May 17, 2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-17?No | buy | 15.72 | $0.670 | $10.53 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.182 | $3.5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.183 | $3.52 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.07 | $0.230 | $4.39 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.07 | $0.230 | $4.39 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.07 | $0.231 | $4.41 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.231 | $4.44 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.231 | $4.44 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 32.04 | $0.238 | $7.63 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 32.04 | $0.240 | $7.69 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 33.11 | $0.240 | $7.95 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 31.94 | $0.312 | $9.97 | May 16, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.878 | $9.89 | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.902 | $9.99 | May 16, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 11.07 | $0.902 | $9.99 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.928 | $9.99 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.928 | $9.99 | May 16, 2026 |
| LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnerRED Canids | buy | 22.22 | $0.892 | $19.83 | May 16, 2026 |