Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 45% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 99.2% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 92% on 11 Jun 2026. $56.22K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 8:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 16 May 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 45.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.79K |
| Scalpoor | No | 1.08K |
| ev345 | No | 67.23 |
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory
| No |
| 50 |
| wef2 | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| wev | No | 49.99 |
| IvanG69 | No | 25 |
| hesure | No | 19.93 |
| goldsniffer | No | 8.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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