Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.993 | $2.3 | 25d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.998 |
| $4.99 |
| 25d ago |
 Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?Yes | sell | 72.65 | $0.246 | $17.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.905 | $9.05 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | May 11, 2026 |
 The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box OfficeMichael | sell | 26 | $0.890 | $23.14 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 76.41 | $0.718 | $54.85 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 13.61 | $0.465 | $6.33 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 62.44 | $0.312 | $19.46 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 38.36 | $0.526 | $20.19 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.41 | $0.656 | $9.46 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes | sell | 14.5 | $0.460 | $6.67 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.821 | $82.06 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.93 | $0.410 | $6.53 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.321 | $16.05 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 120 | $0.625 | $74.94 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.149 | $11.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?Yes | sell | 16.1 | $0.550 | $8.86 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?No | sell | 40 | $0.907 | $36.28 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 41.2 | $0.172 | $7.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes | sell | 35 | $0.300 | $10.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?No | sell | 56.73 | $0.850 | $48.22 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.592 | $11.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 269.99 | $0.190 | $51.36 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.187 | $46.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.840 | $126 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 22.44 | $0.890 | $19.97 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.966 | $96.58 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 20.8 | $0.680 | $14.14 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | sell | 20 | $0.982 | $19.63 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | sell | 45.79 | $0.480 | $21.98 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?No | sell | 182.82 | $0.910 | $166.37 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%?No | sell | 8.8 | $0.999 | $8.79 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?No | sell | 43.3 | $0.855 | $37 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?No | sell | 56.7 | $0.885 | $50.16 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 269.99 | $0.829 | $223.75 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 100 | $0.651 | $65.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.570 | $12.54 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No | sell | 18.59 | $0.510 | $9.48 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.037 | $0.74 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?No | sell | 95.55 | $0.943 | $90.07 | Feb 16, 2026 |