Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 71.64K | $0.269 | $37.43K | +$18.14K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.91K | $0.650 | $2.54K | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.87K |
| $0.874 |
| $7.44K |
| +$553.23 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4.85K | $0.952 | $4.69K | +$80.16 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10.98K | $0.270 | $4.03K | +$1.07K |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.91K | $0.643 | $3.81K | +$10.45 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 5.2K | $0.618 | $3.3K | +$85.88 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.65K | $0.752 | $2.15K | -$591.28 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.63K | $0.059 | $1.1K | +$823.81 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 26.61K | $0.238 | $545.45 | -$5.8K |
 Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Yes | 20 | $0.340 | $6.2 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.850 |
| $25.5 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.845 | $2.2K | 10d ago |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 11d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 2.59K | $0.963 | $2.49K | 11d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.37K | $0.317 | $1.39K | 17d ago |
 Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | sell | 177 | $0.999 | $176.82 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.590 | $1.16K | 23d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 661.54 | $0.590 | $390.31 | 23d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.73K | $0.590 | $2.2K | 23d ago |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.893 | $1.2K | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by July 31?No | sell | 3.98K | $0.998 | $3.97K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?No | sell | 95 | $0.996 | $94.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.6K | $0.284 | $2.16K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.54 | $0.097 | $1.51 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 965.9 | $0.952 | $919.79 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 507 | $0.946 | $479.57 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.980 | $1.13K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.42K | $0.741 | $3.28K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 204.35 | $0.780 | $159.39 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 822.77 | $0.806 | $662.82 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.470 | $1.29K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 805 | $0.850 | $684.25 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?No | buy | 3.28K | $0.990 | $3.24K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.031 | $4.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 109.71 | $0.031 | $3.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.031 | $0.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.031 | $3.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 10.37K | $0.999 | $10.36K | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.56K | $0.999 | $3.56K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.031 | $3.88 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.42 | $0.031 | $0.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?No | buy | 29.06 | $0.996 | $28.94 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Yes | buy | 263.48 | $0.996 | $262.43 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Yes | buy | 67.39 | $0.995 | $67.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Yes | buy | 251.68 | $0.995 | $250.37 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.987 | $1.28K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.996 | $1.28K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.090 | $181.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No | buy | 4.63K | $0.099 | $459.24 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No | sell | 1.96K | $0.902 | $1.77K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 861.31 | $0.232 | $199.82 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.63K | $0.863 | $1.41K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 6.52K | $0.870 | $5.68K | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 9K | $0.880 | $7.92K | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.080 | $171.81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.972 | $6.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 217.94 | $0.973 | $212.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 870.67 | $0.963 | $838.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |