Analytics
Yes is at 82.5%, down 4.5 points from 87% when the market opened on 13 Aug 2026.
Across the 76 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 46% on 15 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 63.5%; a month before, 74.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 46% on 15 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “NCAA Football: Kansas 2026 Win Total”.
$19 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $491.76 since listing. The order book holds $399.54, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 33 trades, $150.86 bought Yes and $37.91 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Suburban-Ecliptic with 33 shares; the largest No position is Golden Kestrel D399 with 22.
Trading closes on 12 Dec 2026, 44 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 87.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 33 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 23 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | No | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-kansas-2026-win-total
| erdos-baconator | No | 15 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 14 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | No | 13.8 |
| Vibrant-Dragonfly | Yes | 11 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 11 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 7.69 |
| mamofaker24 | No | 7.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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