Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 34% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 39.5% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 23% on 26 Jul 2026. $6K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 34.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 30 |
| monoclith | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893
| Ivory Voyager C5A4 | Yes | 13.63 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 4.18 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.3 |
| Quiet Vector 3E2B | No | 0.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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