Analytics
Yes is at 14%, down 40 points from 54% when the market opened on 18 Jul 2026.
Across the 102 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 13% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 34% on 29 Aug 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?”.
$6.05K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $437.04, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 150 trades, $1K bought Yes and $514.4 bought No.
The largest Yes position is gingipr17kk with 182 shares; the largest No position is rocky42007 with 222. Ten wallets hold 86.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 54.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocky42007 | No | 222.41 |
| gingipr17kk | Yes | 181.61 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 100 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the closing market capitalization of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is equal to or greater than USD 1 trillion for any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on any day within the specified timeframe. This market may remain open for three days after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, to confirm the closing share price of a date within the specified timeframe. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jpmorgan-jpm-closes-at-1t-market-cap-by-20260715163827893
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 94.82 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 74.6 |
| maora | No | 67.53 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 60.31 |
| acuellarF | Yes | 45.1 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 30 |
| misha-d1 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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