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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.620 | $0.48 | +$0.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.070 | $1.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.61 |
| $0.240 |
| $0.39 |
| +$0.25 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 0.56 | $0.330 | $0.3 | +$0.11 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.860 | $0.15 | +$0.01 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | No | 0.15 | $0.840 | $0.15 | +$0.02 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.630 | $0.12 | +$0.01 |
 Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? | No | 5.75 | $0.160 | $0.11 | -$0.81 |
 Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28? | Yes | 0.44 | $0.205 | $0.1 | +$0.01 |
 Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 2.69 | $0.230 | $0.03 | -$0.59 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 0.11 | $0.136 | $0.01 | -$0 |
| Will Datu Sa Kabanalan (Matampay) sa Magindanaw Royal Descendants Association (THE ROYALS) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $0.01 | -$4.59 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.012 |
| $0.24 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.012 | $0.24 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.070 | $0.56 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 18.4 | $0.015 | $0.28 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.080 | $0.72 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.740 | $0.74 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.111 | $1.11 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.030 | $0.33 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.090 | $1.62 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.100 | $2.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.140 | $1.82 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.090 | $2.07 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.170 | $7.48 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?No | sell | 35 | $0.984 | $34.44 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | sell | 3 | $0.700 | $2.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.520 | $8.84 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?No | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Over $4M committed to the TownSquare public sale?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Brandon Dukes win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | sell | 21 | $0.130 | $2.73 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.060 | $1.98 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?No | sell | 50 | $0.132 | $6.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.062 | $5.02 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Over $1.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.450 | $5.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?No | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |