Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 23 Jul 2026.
Across the 94 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the price held at 0.4%. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%.
Josh Stein ranks 46th of the 55 outcomes in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. JD Vance leads at 18.2%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 13%.
$1.04M traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.02M, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $36.34 bought Yes and $7.21K bought No; the largest was a $3.17K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA with 623.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.73M. Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 23 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.73M |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Yes | 623.89K |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 500K |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028
42 more outcomes, none above 1.3%.
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk | Yes | 202.18K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 166.45K |
| Jade Falcon 2704 | Yes | 143K |
| LAROW | Yes | 131.51K |
| tugator | Yes | 130.52K |
| jeb2016 | Yes | 104K |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau | Yes | 78.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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