Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 20 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.8% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 39.5% on 8 Jul 2026. $42.4K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 20 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 61.5% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | 97.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.98K |
| Royal Horizon 9999 | No | 3.27K |
| Contradict | No | 567.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wa-03-primary-first-place-20260706195611094
| No |
| 429 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 221.17 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 209.79 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 125.17 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| ghorrock | No | 62.06 |
| dropmeplease | No | 41.65 |
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