Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 24 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 11 Jul 2026.
Across the 110 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.4%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 7% on 12 Jul 2026.
$608.12 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.19K, with a 2.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $1.09 bought Yes and $426.85 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 122 shares; the largest No position is QMG-CORE with 127.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 25.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE | No | 126.65 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 121.87 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 68.86 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jerome-powell-join-an-ai-company-in-2026-20260710193608891
| Darling-Top |
| No |
| 59 |
| Alegrandebig | No | 30.94 |
| DREAMBIG. | Yes | 24.28 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| vinii | No | 10 |
| postmeta | No | 10 |
| qcp14 | Yes | 6.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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