
Resolved No on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 7% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 22 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.6% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 3 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 41.6% on 17 May 2026. $25.81K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 8:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 22 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 7.0% |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.41K |
| troim | Yes | 3K |
| AishahSofey | Yes | 2.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-jerome-powell-depart-as-fed-chair
| Yes |
| 1K |
| niglette | Yes | 619.08 |
| Amber Summit 53DA | Yes | 595.59 |
| bugseeker | Yes | 448.78 |
| Last-Underestimate | Yes | 407.69 |
| Second-Hand-Presume | Yes | 305 |
| Haklgios | Yes | 283.39 |
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