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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 84.75 | $0.035 | $0.42 | -$2.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.102 | $1.65 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 42.38 |
| $0.077 |
| $0.02 |
| -$3.27 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.048 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.025 | $0 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 11.62 |
| $0.025 |
| $0.29 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 29.97 | $0.016 | $0.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 42.57 | $0.011 | $0.47 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 23.42 | $0.029 | $0.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes | sell | 28.97 | $0.019 | $0.55 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes | sell | 18.6 | $0.029 | $0.54 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 38.71 | $0.043 | $1.66 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No | sell | 49.22 | $0.018 | $0.87 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.910 | $2.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 110.1 | $0.018 | $1.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 72.1 | $0.047 | $3.38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.92 | $0.055 | $4.38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.67 | $0.193 | $2.82 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 139.17 | $0.024 | $3.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?Yes | sell | 20.14 | $0.343 | $6.91 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 316.09 | $0.027 | $8.42 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | sell | 382.1 | $0.063 | $23.89 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.969 | $45.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 5.41 | $0.930 | $5.03 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.923 | $5.03 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | sell | 7.42 | $0.930 | $6.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.920 | $7.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.934 | $9.33 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.936 | $9.35 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.954 | $9.52 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.954 | $9.53 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?No | sell | 10.9 | $0.943 | $10.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 13.84 | $0.920 | $12.73 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 16.98 | $0.930 | $15.79 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.55 | $0.930 | $16.32 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.911 | $18.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.930 | $18.58 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.954 | $19.06 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 20.97 | $0.958 | $20.09 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 21.97 | $0.930 | $20.43 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 22.54 | $0.940 | $21.19 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 22.97 | $0.940 | $21.59 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 23.97 | $0.920 | $22.05 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 23.97 | $0.930 | $22.29 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 23.97 | $0.958 | $22.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No | sell | 24.76 | $0.936 | $23.18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | sell | 25.12 | $0.951 | $23.89 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 28.01 | $0.855 | $23.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 28.97 | $0.930 | $26.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 28.97 | $0.940 | $27.23 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes | sell | 28.97 | $0.940 | $27.23 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 29.97 | $0.921 | $27.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |