Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$20.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 4, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 4 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54%. Yes opened at 40% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the highest close was 54% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 20.5% on 22 Aug 2026. $20.14K traded over the market's life.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 4 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Aug 2026	40.0%
4 Sep 2026	54.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.38K
HerrieDavis	No	198.57
Turbulent-Decline-Router	No	197

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).