Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.9%. Yes opened at 26% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 26% on 25 Mar 2026 and the low 0.5% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 7% on 28 Mar 2026. $34.55K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 3, 1:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 25 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 26.0% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 4.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | Yes | 1.97K |
| S888 | Yes | 309 |
| Authorized-Spreadsheet | Yes | 295.32 |
| This-Behold | Yes | 261.71 |
| twobe3 | Yes | 250 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 121.33 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 120.52 |
| sirmisterk | Yes | 45.01 |
| Incomplete-Brother | Yes | 38.46 |
| sebbo97 | Yes | 32.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-jd-vance-talk-to-iranian-negotiators-by
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