Will it rain during the Italian Grand Prix?

sportsResolved

No, settled Sep 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$14.6K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 6, 2026 UTC

Topic roomFormula 1

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 27% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 6 Sep 2026, the highest close was 27% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 7.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $14.63K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 6 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Aug 2026	27.0%
6 Sep 2026	1.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Dr.PNL	Yes	671.57
lissartter	Yes	260.6
Imlilricch	Yes	50
.Menthe	Yes	50

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".