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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1K | $0.650 | $565 | -$85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 990.4 | $0.013 | $12.88 | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 800 |
| $0.468 |
| $372 |
| -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 300 | $0.560 | $139.5 | -$28.5 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.720 | $129 | -$15 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 732.65 | $0.247 | $106.23 | -$74.61 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 150 | $0.729 | $94.2 | -$15.15 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 122.76 | $0.780 | $93.91 | -$1.84 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 200 | $0.370 | $65 | -$9 |
 Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | No | 100 | $0.660 | $63 | -$3 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.429 | $56.5 | +$13.55 |
 Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? | Yes | 77.54 | $0.897 | $51.22 | -$18.34 |
 Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo? | Yes | 120 | $0.732 | $40.2 | -$47.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.230 | $39 | -$7 |
 Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.880 | $17.5 | -$0.1 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $12.9 | -$1.3 |
 Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $5.8 | -$3.2 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.830 | $3.3 | -$13.3 |
| sell |
| 1.2K |
| $0.001 |
| $1.2 |
| 9d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 24-30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | 9d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.002 | $1.8 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.001 | $0.4 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.010 | $2.3 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 269.98 | $0.004 | $1.12 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.020 | $0.86 | 12d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 491 | $0.830 | $407.53 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 1.7K | $0.180 | $306 | 16d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.001 | $1.47 | 16d ago |
 Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 16d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.022 | $19.8 | 16d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?Yes | buy | 340.2 | $0.074 | $25.02 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | buy | 958 | $0.964 | $923.42 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | buy | 996 | $0.960 | $956.14 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | sell | 2.03K | $0.915 | $1.86K | 18d ago |
 Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?Yes | sell | 36.13 | $0.016 | $0.59 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | sell | 789.4 | $0.736 | $581.11 | 18d ago |
| Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?Yes | sell | 20.6 | $0.109 | $2.25 | 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 24.91 | $0.840 | $20.92 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | buy | 705 | $0.439 | $309.36 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on August 21?Yes | sell | 989.5 | $0.161 | $159.31 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | buy | 500 | $0.381 | $190.5 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?No | buy | 120 | $0.381 | $45.72 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on August 21?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.207 | $207 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on August 21?Yes | sell | 603.6 | $0.061 | $36.82 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on August 21?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.061 | $146.4 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on August 21?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.092 | $3.77 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on August 21?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.021 | $50.4 | 19d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 21?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.483 | $48.3 | 19d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.310 | $310 | 21d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.290 | $435 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.090 | $180 | 22d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | 24d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.239 | $11.95 | 24d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 26d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 26d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes | sell | 620 | $0.001 | $0.62 | 26d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 408.37 | $0.001 | $0.41 | 27d ago |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 591.63 | $0.001 | $0.59 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 749 | $0.012 | $8.64 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 251 | $0.013 | $3.26 | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 299.23 | $0.002 | $0.6 | 28d ago |
 LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageCapybara Esports | sell | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | 28d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 29d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.282 | $16.91 | 29d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?No | sell | 84 | $0.021 | $1.76 | Aug 10, 2026 |