Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jun 2025.
$98.53K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 24, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2025 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Themunchkinman | Yes | 457.24 |
| KOPP | Yes | 80.31 |
| R.Burgundy | Yes | 50 |
| Henri03 | Yes | 24.78 |
| BettingAddictionIsGood | Yes | 6.25 |
| HolyMoses7VerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 0.06 |
| Neon Comet 0E19 | Yes | 0.01 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, or on any U.S. territory, embassy, or consulate, between June 2, 2025 (inclusive) and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting..
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iran-military-response-by
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