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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 50 | $0.250 | $0.15 | -$12.35 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.028 | $1.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.013 |
| $1.3 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?Yes | buy | 50.9 | $0.057 | $2.9 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.280 | $5.49 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.077 | $4.24 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.97 | $0.120 | $5.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.088 | $15.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.066 | $19.83 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.100 | $23 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.390 | $23.4 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.080 | $34.4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.440 | $15.4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes | sell | 58.72 | $0.110 | $6.46 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.430 | $25.8 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?Yes | buy | 169.22 | $0.013 | $2.2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by August 31?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.029 | $8.99 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by August 31?Yes | buy | 390.74 | $0.028 | $10.94 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.110 | $12.21 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?Israel | sell | 105 | $0.575 | $60.4 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.310 | $6.51 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.580 | $9.28 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.870 | $2.75 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.720 | $28.8 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?Israel | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | sell | 59.38 | $0.942 | $55.94 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | sell | 77.59 | $0.860 | $66.73 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.200 | $18 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.760 | $12.66 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.220 | $7.26 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.997 | $26.92 | Jun 22, 2025 |