Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 583.97 | $0.036 | $21.02 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 22.22 |
| $0.993 |
| $22.06 |
| Jun 25, 2025 |
 UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.065 | $5.53 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.500 | $125 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 533.84 | $0.187 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 450.07 | $0.470 | $211.53 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 357.34 | $0.140 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 155 | $0.480 | $74.4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 364.43 | $0.110 | $40 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 357.85 | $0.098 | $35 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 79.4 | $0.460 | $36.52 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.079 | $80 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 926.58 | $0.065 | $60 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 305.64 | $0.488 | $149.06 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 351.16 | $0.057 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 372.35 | $0.054 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 521.74 | $0.230 | $120 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 692.2 | $0.029 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.028 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?Yes | buy | 24.78 | $0.404 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.021 | $15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 77.31 | $0.259 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.018 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 205.13 | $0.390 | $80 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 127.71 | $0.274 | $35 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 186.74 | $0.375 | $70 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 119.15 | $0.210 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 115.21 | $0.217 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 771.63 | $0.259 | $200 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 305.64 | $0.491 | $150 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 134.53 | $0.149 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 892.45 | $0.998 | $890.67 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 271.43 | $0.070 | $19 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 87.38 | $0.229 | $20 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.632 | $37.92 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.070 | $40 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | sell | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 952.46 | $0.630 | $600 | Jun 18, 2025 |