Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.9% on 12 May 2026 and the low 66.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 66.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $176.7K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 2:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 12 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | 79.5% |
| 12 May 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HerrieDavis | No | 2.93K |
| labistiiia | No | 2K |
| 0xe93E | No | 1.86K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-inflation-get-in-2026
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| Zarshka | No | 1K |
| readyplayer6 | No | 649.32 |
| nikitaxce | No | 600 |
| ouiouidescs | No | 600 |
| policestici | No | 500 |
| noid2 | No | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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