Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 39 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 59 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 43.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
It is one of 45 markets under “2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion”.
$509 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.84K since listing. The order book holds $6.05K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $316.37 bought Yes and $2.66K bought No; the largest was a $1.82K buy of No at 91.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Swift Maven 1848 with 5.7K shares; the largest No position is Hyperlong with 5K.
Trading closes on 20 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 5.66K |
| Hyperlong | No | 5K |
| kittycat67 | No | 509 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-mens-college-basketball-national-champion
33 more markets, none above 5.9%.
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 291.39 |
| ndb1 | No | 180.32 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 158.64 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 79.99 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 53.94 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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