Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 32 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 61 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 15%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 18.5% on 15 Sep 2026.
It is one of 45 markets under “2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion”.
$60.21 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.26K since listing. The order book holds $5.16K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 129 trades, $372 bought Yes and $1.38K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Swift Maven 1848 with 986 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 379. Ten wallets hold 94.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Maven 1848 | Yes | 986.09 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 378.82 |
| TimeGoFishing | Yes | 363.21 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-mens-college-basketball-national-champion
33 more markets, none above 7.8%.
| ndb1 | No | 246.87 |
| tylerpredict | No | 230 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 200 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 131.92 |
| jacobmeter | No | 98.89 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 63.69 |
| ABC12345654321 | Yes | 59.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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