Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94%. Yes opened at 88% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 27 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 20% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 94% on 27 Sep 2026. $3.12K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 27 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 88.0% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 94.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spectrum | No | 84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 72.42 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs-20260702210646854
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 50 |
| Complex-Riverbed | Yes | 12.5 |
| 80sdfs | No | 11.6 |
| 77sfds | Yes | 8.42 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 5 |
| thelighthouse1337 | No | 0.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
