Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 10.87 | $0.460 | $10.82 | +$5.82 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 4d ago |
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Complex-Riverbed is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,561,776 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$89.95 observed lifetime PnL, 94 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 42.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x6b6f2ffd3b9b914128d687ab66b0f952aa1ad87e
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 9.62 |
| $0.520 |
| $8.32 |
| +$3.32 |
 Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? | Stripe | 17.24 | $0.700 | $6.72 | -$5.34 |
 Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of September 2026? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $6.56 | +$1.56 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 in September? | No | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5.6 | +$0.6 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 9.31 | $0.537 | $4.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.730 | $4.81 | -$4.31 |
| buy |
| 9.8 |
| $0.510 |
| $5 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.537 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.701 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 in September?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 12d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | 13d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in August?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on August 31?Down | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on August 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in August?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 in August?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | 17d ago |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | 18d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 18d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on August 21?Up | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $157.50 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 in August?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $127?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.120 | $1.09 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $155 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $268 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026?No | sell | 18.51 | $0.900 | $16.66 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.991 | $13.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 in July?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.464 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?Yes | sell | 24.03 | $0.402 | $9.66 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 22.03 | $0.570 | $12.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | sell | 24.53 | $0.380 | $9.32 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.810 | $5.39 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.