Analytics
Yes is at 25%, down 15 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 154 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61.5% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 29 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36.5%; a month before, 47.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 30.5% on 28 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Hotstuff launch a token by ___?”.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.16K since listing. The order book holds $588.03, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 228 trades, $689.29 bought Yes and $1.37K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 99 shares; the largest No position is Fearless-Criminal-People with 105.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 154 points, 21 May 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Criminal-People | No | 105 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 99.11 |
| nastynian | Yes | 56.09 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hotstuff officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Hotstuff will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hotstuff (https://x.com/tradehotstuff), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hotstuff-launch-a-token-by
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 21.98 |
| pppnn | Yes | 19.03 |
| AJSV | No | 18.35 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 10.01 |
| ddaasdf | No | 10 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 3.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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