Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 28 points from 40.5% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 159 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 9 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17.5%; a month before, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 9.5% on 9 Jun 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Hotstuff launch a token by ___?”.
$7.37K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $781.86, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 138 trades, $631.11 bought Yes and $1.66K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 589 shares; the largest No position is faith1 with 400. Ten wallets hold 94.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 159 points, 21 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 40.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 588.65 |
| faith1 | No | 400 |
| televisionloud | No | 80 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hotstuff officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Hotstuff will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hotstuff (https://x.com/tradehotstuff), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hotstuff-launch-a-token-by
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 75.44 |
| pppnn | No | 50 |
| Solarinoxx | No | 49.08 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 39.2 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 31.6 |
| nastynian | No | 30.06 |
| Emerald Voyager F74D | No | 28.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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