Analytics
Yes is at 20%, up 5.5 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4% on 23 Oct 2026. The current quote, 20%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 19% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 19% on 30 Oct 2026.
Hili Tropper ranks second of the 13 outcomes in “Next Israeli Minister of Justice?”. No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 44.5%; Orit Farkash-Hacohen is at 13.6%.
$276.23 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.65K since listing. The order book holds $1.68K, with a 14.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 45 trades, $79.35 bought Yes and $181.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 338 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 782. Ten wallets hold 96.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 19.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 781.78 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 337.51 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 125.42 |
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| Unequaled-Correspondence | Yes | 125 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 58.41 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 45.83 |
| donthackme | Yes | 21.45 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 20.48 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 20 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 17.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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