Analytics
Yes is at 2.2%, down 49 points from 51% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 67 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.2% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 26%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 41.5% on 2 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?”.
$6.07K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.2K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 148 trades, $536.83 bought Yes and $1.52K bought No.
The largest Yes position is chessplayer with 471 shares; the largest No position is bissy. with 230. Ten wallets hold 84.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chessplayer | Yes | 470.89 |
| bissy. | No | 229.94 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 206.8 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/heidi-overton-confirmed-as-fda-commissioner-by
| youtube-trader |
| Yes |
| 100.12 |
| sunnynotbunny | No | 86.97 |
| Bitgod | No | 80.56 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 67 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 59.22 |
| LLLLLukee | No | 50.97 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 49.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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