Analytics
Yes is at 38%, down 14 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 66 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 38% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45%; a month before, 49%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 38.5% on 23 Aug 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?”.
$3.75K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.31K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 89 trades, $900.13 bought Yes and $293.67 bought No.
The largest Yes position is DuneMentat with 230 shares; the largest No position is bananabreakfast with 143. Ten wallets hold 87.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 51.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 38.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuneMentat | Yes | 230.01 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 163.04 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 142.5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/heidi-overton-confirmed-as-fda-commissioner-by
| Solar Ledger 05AA | No | 100.26 |
| asfui8j9 | No | 61.35 |
| PPMT | No | 60 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 50 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 45.63 |
| thursdays | No | 41.05 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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