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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | No | 45.35 | $0.506 | $37.87 | +$14.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | 21h ago |
 |
| No |
| 90.02 |
| $0.520 |
| $37.81 |
| -$9 |
 Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? | Yes | 40.01 | $0.515 | $25.01 | +$4.4 |
 Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $18.9 | +$5.5 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.630 | $18 | +$5.4 |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.710 | $17.6 | +$3.4 |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31? | Yes | 28.67 | $0.510 | $16.63 | +$2 |
 Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | No | 20 | $0.450 | $16.1 | +$7.1 |
 Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027? | No | 75.95 | $0.422 | $15.57 | -$16.52 |
 Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.510 | $15.5 | +$5.3 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 18.19 | $0.840 | $15.37 | +$0.09 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.364 | $14.56 | +$7.28 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.430 | $13.7 | +$5.1 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $13.5 | -$2.3 |
 Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 60.03 | $0.311 | $13.3 | -$5.37 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000? | No | 20.01 | $0.850 | $12.01 | -$5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 20.01 | $0.280 | $11.51 | +$5.9 |
 Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $11.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | $0.580 | $10.9 | -$0.7 |
 Will Jake Ferguson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $10.1 | +$0.9 |
 Will Bijan Robinson have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | $0.490 | $9.5 | -$0.3 |
| Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027? | Yes | 19.93 | $0.760 | $9.27 | -$5.88 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 20 | $0.620 | $9.1 | -$3.3 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | No | 8.91 | $0.480 | $8.87 | +$4.6 |
 Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 20 | $0.470 | $8.1 | -$1.3 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.530 |
| $21.2 |
| 13d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.999 | $0.2 | 28d ago |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.500 | $2.33 | 28d ago |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.429 | $2.15 | 28d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 28d ago |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 28d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 13?Yes | sell | 19.03 | $0.980 | $18.65 | 29d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 29d ago |