Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.3%. Yes opened at 69% on 15 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 15 May 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 96.7% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 69% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 78.5% on 7 Jul 2026. $8.96K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 15 May 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 69.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 96.3% |
Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Senate (Sénat) (senat.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-grard-larcher-be-reelected-as-president-of-the-french-senate
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 16.15 |
| Dead-Award | No | 15 |
| Mojito9 | No | 15 |
| Keen Scout EB71 | No | 11.9 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 10 |
| koseidon37 | No | 9.62 |
| 20260405 | Yes | 5.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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