Analytics
Trading ended on 23 Sep 2026 with Yes at 79.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 69 daily closes on record from 18 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 63% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 85%; a month before, 79.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 85% on 20 Oct 2026.
$496.04 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is unluigi with 151 shares; the largest No position is pootytherewardfarmer with 48.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 3:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 64.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 79.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| unluigi | Yes | 150.67 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 47.8 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.1 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-furia-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31
| No |
| 20 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 20 |
| AMAM13 | No | 19.75 |
| Semaphored | No | 16 |
| Coral Orbit CDBD | No | 11.36 |
| KaliYugaCapital | Yes | 10 |
| 80sdfs | No | 7.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
