Analytics
Trading ended on 21 Sep 2026 with Yes at 2.1%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.2% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 1.3%.
It is one of 8 markets under “Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?”.
$1.8K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is fiter with 400 shares; the largest No position is DerDon with 600.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 4.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DerDon | No | 600 |
| fiter | Yes | 400 |
| White-Weeder | No | 290.54 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-government
| AMAM13 |
| Yes |
| 207.45 |
| hochnaesigezicke | No | 138.57 |
| Geromi | Yes | 65 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 63 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 59.55 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 57.15 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
